thrice fortnight sports blog

Thursday, March 7

Maryland Stats

$`Four Factors`
       OPP      NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 Maryland     Total 1.16   0.55   0.31 0.44   0.18
2 Maryland oppTotals 1.00   0.45   0.34 0.24   0.21

$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock       9 2.11 0.14   0.75   0.75     0.67   0.07   0.29  0.97 0.50   1.00  0.09   0.11
McAdoo       14 0.71 0.25   0.80   0.27      NaN   0.04   0.03  0.38 0.45   0.27  0.05   0.14
Hubert        0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Strickland    5 1.60 0.12   1.00   0.50      NaN   0.05   0.04  0.69 1.00   0.50  0.38   0.00
Paige        15 0.60 0.27    NaN   0.43     0.43   0.00   0.10  0.64 0.00   0.64  0.15   0.53
James        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Hairston     17 1.29 0.32   0.67   0.47     0.29   0.12   0.17  0.58 0.60   0.53  0.05   0.06
Johnson       2 2.00 0.17   1.00   0.33      NaN   0.33   0.14  0.52 0.67   0.33  0.00   0.00
McDonald      6 1.17 0.16    NaN   0.43     0.25   0.06   0.05  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.00   0.00
Tokoto        0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Davis        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Simmons      NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Total        68 1.16 1.00   0.79   0.45     0.42   0.31   0.61  0.60 0.44   0.55  0.52   0.18
oppTotals    68 1.00 1.00   0.73   0.43     0.13   0.34   0.66  0.49 0.24   0.45  0.33   0.21

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  298 1.40 0.19   0.75   0.49     0.45   0.07   0.15  0.64 0.21   0.62  0.13   0.11
2      McAdoo  469 0.93 0.29   0.57   0.45     0.00   0.09   0.18  0.48 0.39   0.45  0.06   0.18
3      Hubert   29 1.21 0.05   0.21   0.53      NaN   0.07   0.11  0.48 0.47   0.53  0.01   0.45
4  Strickland  260 0.92 0.18   0.66   0.44     0.19   0.02   0.08  0.50 0.44   0.45  0.21   0.14
5       Paige  310 0.73 0.21   0.85   0.33     0.33   0.01   0.10  0.46 0.20   0.41  0.22   0.23
6       James   59 1.07 0.12   0.56   0.50      NaN   0.09   0.17  0.52 0.30   0.50  0.03   0.34
7    Hairston  317 1.20 0.29   0.77   0.42     0.38   0.08   0.12  0.58 0.30   0.54  0.09   0.10
8     Johnson  159 1.19 0.25   0.62   0.53      NaN   0.09   0.23  0.54 0.15   0.53  0.04   0.10
9    McDonald  180 1.01 0.23   0.75   0.38     0.38   0.04   0.08  0.52 0.17   0.49  0.11   0.11
10     Tokoto   89 1.00 0.18   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.09   0.12  0.52 0.35   0.53  0.12   0.30
11      Davis   10 0.80 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.04  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.41   0.70
12    Simmons   21 2.67 0.06   0.80   0.67      NaN   0.13   0.12  0.69 0.28   0.67  0.05   0.29
13      Total 2180 1.07 1.00   0.66   0.45     0.38   0.36   0.68  0.53 0.28   0.50  0.61   0.17
14   oppTotal 2180 0.94 1.00   0.69   0.42     0.34   0.30   0.65  0.50 0.25   0.47  0.49   0.22

Wednesday, March 6

Florida St Stats

$`Four Factors`
           OPP      NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 FloridaState     Total 1.22   0.63   0.26 0.18   0.17
2 FloridaState oppTotals 0.89   0.40   0.31 0.13   0.23


$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock      12 1.67 0.21   0.00   0.73     0.57   0.04   0.26  0.87 0.09   0.91  0.18   0.17
McAdoo       16 1.31 0.33   1.00   0.67      NaN   0.10   0.07  0.68 0.07   0.67  0.00   0.19
Hubert        1 2.00 0.21    NaN   1.00      NaN   0.50   0.33  1.00 0.00   1.00  0.00   1.00
Strickland    6 0.83 0.13   0.50   0.40      NaN   0.00   0.04  0.43 0.40   0.40  0.18   0.00
Paige         9 0.67 0.16   0.50   0.40     1.00   0.00   0.09  0.51 0.40   0.50  0.34   0.33
James         1 2.00 0.15    NaN   1.00      NaN   0.00   0.00  1.00 0.00   1.00  0.00   0.00
Hairston      9 1.78 0.19    NaN   0.55     0.67   0.10   0.07  0.73 0.00   0.73  0.04   0.00
Johnson       2 1.00 0.15    NaN   0.50      NaN   0.00   0.12  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.00   0.00
McDonald      7 0.43 0.22   0.75   0.00     0.00   0.00   0.15  0.32 1.33   0.00  0.00   0.29
Tokoto       NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Davis         0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Simmons       0  NaN 0.00    NaN   0.00      NaN   0.25   0.17  0.00 0.00   0.00  0.22    NaN
Total        65 1.22 1.00   0.60   0.55     0.60   0.26   0.62  0.65 0.18   0.63  0.65   0.17
oppTotals    65 0.89 1.00   1.00   0.37     0.22   0.31   0.70  0.44 0.13   0.40  0.43   0.23

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  289 1.38 0.19   0.75   0.49     0.44   0.07   0.14  0.63 0.20   0.61  0.13   0.11
2      McAdoo  454 0.94 0.29   0.56   0.45     0.00   0.09   0.19  0.48 0.38   0.45  0.06   0.18
3      Hubert   29 1.21 0.05   0.21   0.53      NaN   0.07   0.11  0.48 0.47   0.53  0.01   0.45
4  Strickland  255 0.90 0.18   0.64   0.44     0.19   0.02   0.08  0.50 0.43   0.45  0.20   0.14
5       Paige  295 0.73 0.20   0.85   0.33     0.32   0.01   0.10  0.45 0.21   0.41  0.22   0.21
6       James   59 1.07 0.12   0.56   0.50      NaN   0.09   0.17  0.52 0.30   0.50  0.03   0.34
7    Hairston  300 1.20 0.28   0.78   0.42     0.39   0.08   0.11  0.58 0.29   0.54  0.09   0.11
8     Johnson  157 1.18 0.25   0.59   0.54      NaN   0.09   0.24  0.55 0.14   0.54  0.04   0.10
9    McDonald  174 1.01 0.23   0.75   0.38     0.39   0.04   0.08  0.52 0.18   0.49  0.11   0.11
10     Tokoto   89 1.00 0.18   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.09   0.12  0.52 0.35   0.53  0.13   0.30
11      Davis   10 0.80 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.04  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.41   0.70
12    Simmons   21 2.67 0.06   0.80   0.67      NaN   0.13   0.12  0.69 0.28   0.67  0.05   0.29
13      Total 2112 1.07 1.00   0.65   0.45     0.37   0.36   0.69  0.53 0.28   0.50  0.61   0.17
14   oppTotal 2112 0.94 1.00   0.69   0.42     0.35   0.30   0.65  0.51 0.25   0.47  0.50   0.22

Tuesday, February 26

Heels Attack NC State's Slow Defense

Here's a breakdown of a play the Heels ran to start their run against NC State on Saturday. This series shows how the Heels attacked the Wolfpack and used a simple curl play that could have ended up as an easy layup, but ended up as an even better three pointer for Reggie Bullock.

Marcus Paige, the blur in white running towards the baseline, goes to set a pick for Bullock. Lorenzo Brown(?), previously guarding Paige, calls down to Reggie Bullock’s (35 in white) man (Warren or Purvis?) to tell him a pick is coming.

Reggie Bullock, starts running towards the top of the 3 point line, away from his man. Paige is ready to set a pick, but is more than an arm’s length away from Bullock’s defender. Lorenzo Brown remains at the right hand side of the free throw line, watching the ball but orienting his body towards Paige and Bullock. At this point, there are 4 black jerseys around the FT line guarding 3 white jerseys.

Bullock’s man is still in contact with Bullock. If Paige were to sprint towards the opposite block and demand the ball (see green arrow below), no one would be guarding him. It’s the kind of quick realization that it’s not fair to expect of a freshman, especially a point guard. It’s likely that Paige is just focusing on running the play for Bullock, which is appropriate. Breaking plays for easy layups is something that guys in the NBA don’t always do, so it’s not fair to expect the same of an 18 year old freshman. Still, it speaks to State’s luck that the Heels didn’t recognize this opportunity for an easy layup, regardless of the outcome of this play.

Lorenzo Brown sees Bullock running towards the top of the 3 point line, but remains with a foot in the paint. James Michael McAdoo waits at the top of the key to screen whoever comes out to guard Bullock. Marcus Paige is hugged by Bullock’s former defender.

Brown tries to step out to challenge Bullock on the curl. He meets McAdoo squarely in the chest. McAdoo’s defender, Richard Howell, standing at the foot of the “A” in the paint, is not hedging. Since Howell is the best rebounder on either team, he was likely told to stay around the paint. This leaves Lorenzo Brown the task of getting around McAdoo quickly to challenge the pass and shot.

As Bullock squares up and begins his shooting motion, Brown is still 6 feet away, with McAdoo still in contact. McAdoo’s man, Richard Howell, stays at the top of the paint to be in prime rebounding position.

The result is an open three for a 44% shooter. The shot goes in, and this is the start of the 13-4 the Heels put together from 8:22 to the NC State timeout at 4:58. That run broke the game open for the Heels and was pivotal for the Carolina victory.

Monday, February 25

GT Stats

$`Four Factors`
     OPP     NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 GaTech    Total 0.97   0.42   0.26 0.26   0.12
2 GaTech OppTotal 0.81   0.47   0.32 0.19   0.26

$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock       9 1.00 0.17    NaN   0.44     0.25   0.00   0.25  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.00   0.00
McAdoo       20 1.10 0.32   0.67   0.47      NaN   0.11   0.21  0.51 0.32   0.47  0.09   0.10
Hubert        1 0.00 0.14    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00   1.00
Strickland    7 0.57 0.13    NaN   0.22      NaN   0.06   0.14  0.22 0.00   0.22  0.37   0.00
Paige        10 0.80 0.19   1.00   0.00     0.00   0.00   0.04  0.53 2.00   0.00  0.27   0.20
James        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Hairston     11 0.91 0.20   1.00   0.27     0.14   0.12   0.03  0.32 0.07   0.30  0.10   0.00
Johnson       2 1.00 0.16    NaN   0.50      NaN   0.00   0.29  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.23   0.00
McDonald     11 1.36 0.36   0.50   0.62     0.67   0.00   0.12  0.84 0.25   0.88  0.19   0.18
Tokoto        0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.11   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Davis        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Simmons       0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.14   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Total        72 0.97 1.00   0.82   0.38     0.30   0.26   0.71  0.48 0.26   0.42  0.76   0.12
OppTotal     72 0.81 1.00   0.36   0.40     0.38   0.32   0.74  0.46 0.19   0.47  0.48   0.26

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  259 1.33 0.19   0.80   0.47     0.44   0.07   0.13  0.62 0.20   0.59  0.13   0.12
2      McAdoo  401 0.95 0.28   0.57   0.45     0.00   0.09   0.20  0.48 0.42   0.45  0.06   0.17
3      Hubert   27 1.22 0.05   0.21   0.52      NaN   0.07   0.10  0.47 0.48   0.52  0.01   0.41
4  Strickland  231 0.87 0.18   0.64   0.42     0.20   0.02   0.08  0.48 0.46   0.43  0.20   0.15
5       Paige  266 0.70 0.21   0.87   0.31     0.30   0.01   0.10  0.43 0.20   0.39  0.21   0.22
6       James   57 1.07 0.12   0.56   0.49      NaN   0.09   0.18  0.51 0.30   0.49  0.03   0.33
7    Hairston  269 1.19 0.30   0.79   0.42     0.38   0.09   0.11  0.58 0.30   0.53  0.10   0.12
8     Johnson  148 1.20 0.25   0.61   0.55      NaN   0.09   0.25  0.55 0.12   0.55  0.04   0.11
9    McDonald  157 1.04 0.24   0.73   0.40     0.40   0.04   0.07  0.53 0.15   0.51  0.12   0.11
10     Tokoto   89 1.00 0.18   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.09   0.12  0.52 0.35   0.53  0.13   0.29
11      Davis    9 0.89 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.04  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.43   0.67
12    Simmons   21 2.67 0.06   0.80   0.69      NaN   0.13   0.12  0.71 0.29   0.69  0.05   0.29
13      Total 1912 1.06 1.00   0.66   0.44     0.37   0.37   0.69  0.52 0.28   0.50  0.60   0.18
14   oppTotal 1912 0.95 1.00   0.69   0.42     0.36   0.29   0.64  0.51 0.26   0.48  0.49   0.21

Sunday, February 17

UVA Stats

$`Four Factors`
  OPP      NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 UVA     Total 1.35    0.6   0.32 0.51    0.1
2 UVA oppTotals 1.17    0.7   0.12 0.21    0.2

$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock       9 1.22 0.14   0.50   0.38     0.43   0.06   0.05  0.56 0.50   0.56  0.15   0.11
McAdoo       13 0.69 0.25   0.25   0.40      NaN   0.08   0.44  0.38 0.40   0.40  0.05   0.23
Hubert        0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Strickland   10 1.20 0.19   0.75   0.60      NaN   0.00   0.06  0.70 1.60   0.60  0.28   0.10
Paige        13 1.31 0.25   1.00   0.44     0.60   0.04   0.17  0.73 0.67   0.61  0.14   0.15
James        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Hairston     16 1.81 0.32   0.88   0.57     0.50   0.08   0.29  0.83 0.57   0.79  0.00   0.00
Johnson       3 2.00 0.16    NaN   0.75      NaN   0.11   0.43  0.75 0.00   0.75  0.00   0.00
McDonald      6 1.17 0.19    NaN   0.43     0.25   0.07   0.00  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.15   0.00
Tokoto        0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.46    NaN
Davis        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Simmons       0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.20   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Total        69 1.35 1.00   0.73   0.49     0.46   0.32   0.92  0.64 0.51   0.60  0.62   0.10
oppTotals    69 1.17 1.00   0.64   0.58     0.57   0.12   0.62  0.70 0.21   0.70  0.39   0.20

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  250 1.34 0.19   0.80   0.47     0.45   0.07   0.12  0.62 0.20   0.60  0.13   0.12
2      McAdoo  381 0.94 0.28   0.56   0.45     0.00   0.09   0.20  0.48 0.43   0.45  0.06   0.18
3      Hubert   26 1.27 0.05   0.21   0.52      NaN   0.07   0.11  0.47 0.48   0.52  0.01   0.38
4  Strickland  224 0.88 0.18   0.64   0.43     0.20   0.02   0.08  0.49 0.49   0.45  0.20   0.15
5       Paige  256 0.70 0.21   0.84   0.32     0.31   0.01   0.10  0.43 0.16   0.39  0.21   0.22
6       James   57 1.07 0.12   0.56   0.49      NaN   0.09   0.18  0.51 0.30   0.49  0.03   0.33
7    Hairston  257 1.21 0.30   0.79   0.43     0.39   0.08   0.12  0.59 0.31   0.55  0.10   0.12
8     Johnson  146 1.20 0.26   0.61   0.55      NaN   0.09   0.24  0.55 0.12   0.55  0.04   0.11
9    McDonald  146 1.02 0.23   0.75   0.38     0.38   0.04   0.07  0.51 0.15   0.49  0.12   0.11
10     Tokoto   89 1.00 0.19   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.09   0.12  0.52 0.35   0.53  0.13   0.29
11      Davis    9 0.89 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.04  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.42   0.67
12    Simmons   21 2.67 0.06   0.80   0.69      NaN   0.14   0.12  0.71 0.29   0.69  0.05   0.29
13      Total 1840 1.07 1.00   0.65   0.44     0.37   0.37   0.69  0.53 0.29   0.50  0.60   0.18
14   oppTotal 1840 0.95 1.00   0.70   0.42     0.36   0.29   0.63  0.51 0.27   0.48  0.49   0.21

Duke Numbers

$`Four Factors`
   OPP      NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 Duke     Total 0.97   0.42   0.43 0.35   0.19
2 Duke oppTotals 1.04   0.50   0.38 0.36   0.24

$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock      11 1.36 0.17   0.25   0.50     0.57   0.07   0.17  0.64 0.40   0.70  0.04   0.18
McAdoo       12 0.75 0.20   0.20   0.33      NaN   0.10   0.15  0.32 0.42   0.33  0.05   0.17
Hubert        0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Strickland   12 1.17 0.20   1.00   0.62      NaN   0.00   0.07  0.72 0.50   0.62  0.00   0.17
Paige         8 0.50 0.15    NaN   0.22     0.00   0.06   0.12  0.22 0.00   0.22  0.05   0.12
James        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Hairston     18 1.28 0.30   0.75   0.44     0.14   0.18   0.04  0.53 0.44   0.47  0.14   0.17
Johnson       3 0.00 0.43    NaN   0.00      NaN   0.00   0.33  0.00 0.00   0.00  0.00   0.33
McDonald      5 0.40 0.14    NaN   0.17     0.00   0.09   0.12  0.17 0.00   0.17  0.08   0.20
Tokoto        3 0.33 0.57   0.50   0.00      NaN   0.00   0.00  0.27 2.00   0.00  0.53   0.33
Davis        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Simmons       0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.00   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.00    NaN
Total        70 0.97 1.00   0.57   0.38     0.28   0.43   0.56  0.45 0.35   0.42  0.32   0.19
oppTotals    70 1.04 1.00   0.85   0.45     0.38   0.38   0.59  0.56 0.36   0.50  0.36   0.24

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  241 1.34 0.19   0.83   0.48     0.45   0.07   0.13  0.62 0.19   0.60  0.13   0.12
2      McAdoo  368 0.95 0.28   0.57   0.45     0.00   0.09   0.19  0.48 0.43   0.45  0.06   0.18
3      Hubert   26 1.27 0.05   0.21   0.52      NaN   0.07   0.11  0.47 0.48   0.52  0.01   0.38
4  Strickland  214 0.86 0.18   0.62   0.43     0.20   0.02   0.08  0.49 0.45   0.44  0.19   0.15
5       Paige  243 0.66 0.21   0.80   0.32     0.29   0.01   0.10  0.41 0.14   0.38  0.21   0.22
6       James   57 1.07 0.12   0.56   0.49      NaN   0.09   0.17  0.51 0.30   0.49  0.03   0.33
7    Hairston  241 1.17 0.30   0.78   0.42     0.38   0.08   0.11  0.57 0.29   0.53  0.11   0.13
8     Johnson  143 1.18 0.26   0.61   0.54      NaN   0.09   0.24  0.55 0.12   0.54  0.04   0.11
9    McDonald  140 1.01 0.23   0.75   0.38     0.39   0.04   0.07  0.52 0.16   0.49  0.11   0.11
10     Tokoto   89 1.00 0.19   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.09   0.12  0.52 0.35   0.53  0.13   0.29
11      Davis    9 0.89 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.04  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.42   0.67
12    Simmons   21 2.67 0.07   0.80   0.69      NaN   0.15   0.12  0.71 0.29   0.69  0.06   0.29
13      Total 1771 1.06 1.00   0.64   0.44     0.36   0.37   0.69  0.52 0.28   0.50  0.60   0.18
14   oppTotal 1771 0.94 1.00   0.70   0.41     0.35   0.30   0.63  0.50 0.27   0.47  0.50   0.21

Tuesday, February 5

Wake Write Up

$`Four Factors`
         OPP     NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 WakeForest    Total 1.10   0.59   0.26 0.40   0.18
2 WakeForest oppTotal 0.78   0.45   0.18 0.31   0.27



$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock      13 1.77 0.25   1.00   0.70     0.80   0.00   0.10  0.94 0.50   0.90  0.14   0.08
McAdoo       16 1.25 0.34   0.55   0.58      NaN   0.10   0.15  0.59 0.92   0.58  0.10   0.06
Hubert        1 2.00 0.05    NaN   0.50      NaN   0.10   0.11  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.11   0.00
Strickland    6 0.33 0.13   0.00   0.25      NaN   0.00   0.21  0.20 0.50   0.25  0.27   0.17
Paige        10 0.70 0.20   0.00   0.50     0.33   0.00   0.29  0.54 0.17   0.58  0.20   0.40
James         4 0.50 0.14    NaN   0.33      NaN   0.08   0.33  0.33 0.00   0.33  0.00   0.50
Hairston      6 1.83 0.25   0.50   0.75     0.67   0.10   0.00  0.83 1.50   1.00  0.21   0.00
Johnson       6 1.00 0.22    NaN   0.50      NaN   0.00   0.33  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.00   0.00
McDonald      6 1.00 0.20    NaN   0.33     0.50   0.00   0.08  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.17   0.00
Tokoto        6 0.33 0.28    NaN   0.50      NaN   0.00   0.00  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.00   0.67
Davis         0  NaN 0.00    NaN    NaN      NaN   0.00   0.50   NaN  NaN    NaN  0.42    NaN
Simmons       2 2.00 0.08    NaN   0.67      NaN   0.18   0.09  0.67 0.00   0.67  0.00   0.50
Total        79 1.10 1.00   0.56   0.52     0.60   0.26   0.88  0.60 0.40   0.59  0.62   0.18
oppTotal     79 0.78 1.00   0.71   0.44     0.11   0.18   0.77  0.50 0.31   0.45  0.58   0.27

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  223 1.32 0.20   0.89   0.47     0.44   0.07   0.12  0.62 0.17   0.59  0.14   0.12
2      McAdoo  341 0.99 0.28   0.59   0.46     0.00   0.10   0.19  0.50 0.45   0.46  0.06   0.18
3      Hubert   26 1.19 0.05   0.21   0.50      NaN   0.07   0.11  0.45 0.50   0.50  0.02   0.38
4  Strickland  198 0.85 0.18   0.60   0.42     0.20   0.02   0.08  0.48 0.46   0.44  0.20   0.16
5       Paige  226 0.69 0.21   0.80   0.33     0.31   0.01   0.10  0.44 0.15   0.41  0.22   0.23
6       James   54 1.13 0.12   0.56   0.50      NaN   0.09   0.18  0.52 0.31   0.50  0.03   0.31
7    Hairston  211 1.17 0.30   0.79   0.42     0.39   0.08   0.12  0.58 0.30   0.54  0.11   0.12
8     Johnson  133 1.21 0.25   0.56   0.56      NaN   0.09   0.24  0.56 0.12   0.56  0.04   0.11
9    McDonald  126 1.03 0.24   0.75   0.38     0.40   0.04   0.07  0.53 0.17   0.50  0.12   0.11
10     Tokoto   85 1.01 0.19   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.09   0.12  0.52 0.33   0.53  0.13   0.29
11      Davis    9 0.89 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.04  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.43   0.67
12    Simmons   21 2.48 0.07   0.80   0.67      NaN   0.15   0.11  0.70 0.30   0.67  0.04   0.29
13      Total 1633 1.07 1.00   0.65   0.45     0.37   0.37   0.69  0.53 0.28   0.50  0.61   0.18
14   oppTotal 1633 0.92 1.00   0.69   0.40     0.34   0.29   0.63  0.49 0.27   0.46  0.50   0.21

Saturday, February 2

Marcus Paige saves the day (and the NCAA hopes)

I think the Heels are really lucky to have come out on top in this one (which is a given, it was an overtime game and important since a loss here would have pushed the Heels towards the bubble), that said I'm especially impressed with the win for a couple of reasons.

1) Personnel - The Heels' personnel options took a huge step back in this game, going from a hot Hairston to a less than impressive Leslie is a downgrade on both ends of the floor. Virginia Tech took advantage of this by throwing a zone look at UNC most of the game, something Reggie Bullock was unable to take advantage of (1-8 3pt FG). Fortunately Paige stepped up (see below) and McAdoo took advantage of the zone by catching the ball in the high post and either sinking a long jumper or successfully putting the ball on the floor (his .75 FTRate was his 2nd highest in the last 10 games). I'm actually surprised that VaTech went to a zone because early on their man to man kept UNC off the glass (http://www.scacchoops.com/ViewHDGame.asp?hSchedule=14590&bView=7&sInclude=dorebpct) which lead to the 12-2 start in which UNC got offensive rebound in the first 10 minutes of the game. Once Tech took to a zone the Heels were able to get second chances and rescue an otherwise pathetic offensive effort. If you inspect the pentagon below, you'll notice that UNC won despite shooting worse than the Virginia Tech. It took an advantage in all three of the other four factors to secure the win. It is nice to see the Heels win one the hard way, stepping up the other areas of the game to make up for poor field goal shooting.

2) Defense - As bad as the offense looked without Hairston, the defense looked very, very good. I'm not going to attribute this to Hairston's absence as much as Paige and Strickland doing an amazing job of keeping NCAA leading scorer Erick Green under wraps. I'll admit I was nervous heading into the waning minutes. Normally with a player of Green's caliber, you can expect him to find a way to score since his team will turn to him repeatedly in close situations. However, Green went 0-3 over the last 6 Tech possessions, thanks to solid defense by Strickland and Paige (and on the last play, Bullock). Erick Green entered the game with an offensive rating of 123 (125 in conference), which is one of the highest in the nation for players of his usage. Today UNC held him to 16 points on 19 possessions, a rating of 84. That was the difference in the game on the defensive end, period. On a similar note, I'm convinced that Roy trusts Simmons more on screens (and free throw shooting) which explains his presence in the lineup as regulation wound to a close. Simmons' ability to hedge appropriately on at least one of the screens Green received may have saved the game, so continue to place me in the "Roy knows what he's doing" camp. To get back to the main point Carolina held a pretty potent offensive team, and the league's best player, to one of their worst offensive games of the season.

3) Paige - On the offensive end: Reggie Bullock's shots weren't falling, James Michael McAdoo was having the kind of game every Tar Heel faithful expects him to have every night, and no one else was stepping in to fill the Bullock/Hairston void. Enter Marcus Paige. Remember that "shoot-first" point guard that Roy recruited? That was him out there on the floor today, 4-10 from 3 point range paired with 5 assists. Hopefully this will help his confidence and he can produce more games like this throughout the remainder of the season. On afternoons that Bullock and/or Hairston are knocking down outside shots, Paige should find himself with open shots and lanes. Whether or not Paige takes advantage of these opportunities will determine if the Tar Heels to continue to improve to the level of everyone's expectations or finish a so-so season with an NCAA whimper.

$`Four Factors`
     OPP     NAME ORTG perEFG perORB  FTR TORATE
1 VaTech    Total 1.03   0.41   0.43 0.42   0.17
2 VaTech oppTotal 0.86   0.42   0.26 0.16   0.20

$`Last Game`
           POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock      11 1.00 0.17   1.00   0.23     0.12   0.10   0.06  0.37 0.31   0.27  0.23   0.00
McAdoo       18 1.22 0.30   0.67   0.67      NaN   0.08   0.21  0.69 0.75   0.67  0.05   0.28
Hubert        0  Inf 0.00    NaN   0.50      NaN   0.14   0.08  0.50 0.00   0.50  0.00    NaN
Strickland    6 0.83 0.14   0.33   0.29      NaN   0.12   0.00  0.30 0.43   0.29  0.07   0.17
Paige        17 1.12 0.28   0.75   0.43     0.40   0.03   0.12  0.60 0.29   0.57  0.24   0.12
James         0  NaN 0.00    NaN   0.00      NaN   0.17   0.40  0.00 0.00   0.00  0.00    NaN
Hairston     NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Johnson       3 1.67 0.18   1.00   0.40      NaN   0.18   0.40  0.46 0.20   0.40  0.17   0.00
McDonald     10 0.60 0.26   1.00   0.14     0.00   0.00   0.09  0.34 0.57   0.14  0.22   0.10
Tokoto        3 0.00 0.32    NaN   0.00     0.00   0.00   0.00  0.00 0.00   0.00  0.00   0.67
Davis        NA   NA   NA     NA     NA       NA     NA     NA    NA   NA     NA    NA     NA
Simmons       3 0.67 0.11   0.00   0.50      NaN   0.06   0.12  0.35 1.00   0.50  0.00   0.33
Total        70 1.03 1.00   0.70   0.38     0.21   0.43   0.72  0.47 0.42   0.41  0.67   0.17
oppTotal     70 0.86 1.00   0.80   0.39     0.31   0.26   0.55  0.45 0.16   0.42  0.42   0.20

$`Season Totals`
         NAME POSS ORTG  USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS  FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1     Bullock  210 1.30 0.19   0.88   0.46     0.43   0.07   0.13  0.60 0.16   0.58  0.14   0.12
2      McAdoo  325 0.97 0.28   0.59   0.46     0.00   0.10   0.19  0.49 0.42   0.46  0.06   0.18
3      Hubert   25 1.16 0.05   0.21   0.50      NaN   0.07   0.11  0.45 0.54   0.50  0.01   0.40
4  Strickland  192 0.87 0.19   0.62   0.43     0.20   0.02   0.07  0.49 0.46   0.44  0.20   0.16
5       Paige  215 0.69 0.21   0.83   0.32     0.31   0.01   0.09  0.43 0.15   0.40  0.22   0.23
6       James   50 1.18 0.12   0.56   0.51      NaN   0.09   0.17  0.53 0.33   0.51  0.03   0.30
7    Hairston  205 1.15 0.30   0.82   0.41     0.38   0.08   0.12  0.57 0.27   0.53  0.11   0.13
8     Johnson  127 1.22 0.26   0.56   0.56      NaN   0.10   0.24  0.57 0.12   0.56  0.05   0.12
9    McDonald  120 1.03 0.24   0.75   0.39     0.40   0.04   0.07  0.53 0.18   0.50  0.12   0.12
10     Tokoto   79 1.06 0.18   0.38   0.53     0.09   0.10   0.13  0.52 0.34   0.54  0.13   0.27
11      Davis    9 0.89 0.07   1.00   1.00     1.00   0.00   0.03  1.39 1.00   1.50  0.43   0.67
12    Simmons   19 2.53 0.07   0.80   0.67      NaN   0.15   0.11  0.70 0.33   0.67  0.05   0.26
13      Total 1554 1.06 1.00   0.65   0.44     0.36   0.38   0.68  0.52 0.28   0.50  0.61   0.18
14   oppTotal 1554 0.93 1.00   0.69   0.40     0.35   0.30   0.63  0.49 0.26   0.46  0.50   0.21