Wednesday, August 31
Wednesday, October 1
Wednesday, November 13
UVA vs VCU Super Tuesday
The top teams in the country were playing in Chicago, but the undercard for the top ten battles was No.14 VCU at No 25 UVA. Here are my observations from the game:
- UVA Offensive Rebounding - In games against UNC last year, UVA abandoned any chance of offensive rebounds by retreating into their defense after a shot was missed. That was not the case tonight, as UVA bigs, especially subs, crashed the boards. There could be several reasons for this, but UVA had 12 offensive rebounds. VCU only had 20 defensive boards.
- Fouls - We know the NCAA wants hand checks called more tightly, and boy, were there lots of whistles. There were 48 fouls called in this game. Both teams were in the double bonus with five minutes left in the first half. Unfortunately, neither team could take advantage. UVA shot 19/33 (there were a great many bailout calls) for 57.6 % and VCU was even worse, 6/15 or 40 %.
- VCU Ball Movement - VCU didn't take many three point shots, but instead moved the ball around and into the post. Terrance Shannon for VCU was the only post player who knew what to do with the ball once he got it. Treveon Graham got plenty of looks running off picks going towards the basket. VCU hit two late 3's to close the gap and eventually beat UVA.
- HAVOC - VCU's defense doesn't just get turnovers in the areas you expect, they also force them close to the opponent's basket. Once teams hurriedly get the ball across the timeline, you'll see VCU double up on the guy who catches the ball, leading to a bad pass or jump ball tie-up around the top of the key.
- UVA vs VCU rivalry - The Battle for the Commonwealth will hopefully be a recurring feature. Very different schools, fan bases and styles of basketball. Great game, great fans, both sides got good and rowdy. Can't wait for the return feature in Richmond next season.
- Kicks - Can you tell who's a scrub based on the footwear you see below?
Thursday, March 7
Maryland Stats
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 Maryland Total 1.16 0.55 0.31 0.44 0.18
2 Maryland oppTotals 1.00 0.45 0.34 0.24 0.21
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 9 2.11 0.14 0.75 0.75 0.67 0.07 0.29 0.97 0.50 1.00 0.09 0.11
McAdoo 14 0.71 0.25 0.80 0.27 NaN 0.04 0.03 0.38 0.45 0.27 0.05 0.14
Hubert 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Strickland 5 1.60 0.12 1.00 0.50 NaN 0.05 0.04 0.69 1.00 0.50 0.38 0.00
Paige 15 0.60 0.27 NaN 0.43 0.43 0.00 0.10 0.64 0.00 0.64 0.15 0.53
James NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Hairston 17 1.29 0.32 0.67 0.47 0.29 0.12 0.17 0.58 0.60 0.53 0.05 0.06
Johnson 2 2.00 0.17 1.00 0.33 NaN 0.33 0.14 0.52 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.00
McDonald 6 1.17 0.16 NaN 0.43 0.25 0.06 0.05 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00
Tokoto 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Total 68 1.16 1.00 0.79 0.45 0.42 0.31 0.61 0.60 0.44 0.55 0.52 0.18
oppTotals 68 1.00 1.00 0.73 0.43 0.13 0.34 0.66 0.49 0.24 0.45 0.33 0.21
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 298 1.40 0.19 0.75 0.49 0.45 0.07 0.15 0.64 0.21 0.62 0.13 0.11
2 McAdoo 469 0.93 0.29 0.57 0.45 0.00 0.09 0.18 0.48 0.39 0.45 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 29 1.21 0.05 0.21 0.53 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.48 0.47 0.53 0.01 0.45
4 Strickland 260 0.92 0.18 0.66 0.44 0.19 0.02 0.08 0.50 0.44 0.45 0.21 0.14
5 Paige 310 0.73 0.21 0.85 0.33 0.33 0.01 0.10 0.46 0.20 0.41 0.22 0.23
6 James 59 1.07 0.12 0.56 0.50 NaN 0.09 0.17 0.52 0.30 0.50 0.03 0.34
7 Hairston 317 1.20 0.29 0.77 0.42 0.38 0.08 0.12 0.58 0.30 0.54 0.09 0.10
8 Johnson 159 1.19 0.25 0.62 0.53 NaN 0.09 0.23 0.54 0.15 0.53 0.04 0.10
9 McDonald 180 1.01 0.23 0.75 0.38 0.38 0.04 0.08 0.52 0.17 0.49 0.11 0.11
10 Tokoto 89 1.00 0.18 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.52 0.35 0.53 0.12 0.30
11 Davis 10 0.80 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.41 0.70
12 Simmons 21 2.67 0.06 0.80 0.67 NaN 0.13 0.12 0.69 0.28 0.67 0.05 0.29
13 Total 2180 1.07 1.00 0.66 0.45 0.38 0.36 0.68 0.53 0.28 0.50 0.61 0.17
14 oppTotal 2180 0.94 1.00 0.69 0.42 0.34 0.30 0.65 0.50 0.25 0.47 0.49 0.22
Wednesday, March 6
Florida St Stats
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 FloridaState Total 1.22 0.63 0.26 0.18 0.17
2 FloridaState oppTotals 0.89 0.40 0.31 0.13 0.23
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 12 1.67 0.21 0.00 0.73 0.57 0.04 0.26 0.87 0.09 0.91 0.18 0.17
McAdoo 16 1.31 0.33 1.00 0.67 NaN 0.10 0.07 0.68 0.07 0.67 0.00 0.19
Hubert 1 2.00 0.21 NaN 1.00 NaN 0.50 0.33 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00
Strickland 6 0.83 0.13 0.50 0.40 NaN 0.00 0.04 0.43 0.40 0.40 0.18 0.00
Paige 9 0.67 0.16 0.50 0.40 1.00 0.00 0.09 0.51 0.40 0.50 0.34 0.33
James 1 2.00 0.15 NaN 1.00 NaN 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Hairston 9 1.78 0.19 NaN 0.55 0.67 0.10 0.07 0.73 0.00 0.73 0.04 0.00
Johnson 2 1.00 0.15 NaN 0.50 NaN 0.00 0.12 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00
McDonald 7 0.43 0.22 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.32 1.33 0.00 0.00 0.29
Tokoto NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Davis 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Simmons 0 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.25 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 NaN
Total 65 1.22 1.00 0.60 0.55 0.60 0.26 0.62 0.65 0.18 0.63 0.65 0.17
oppTotals 65 0.89 1.00 1.00 0.37 0.22 0.31 0.70 0.44 0.13 0.40 0.43 0.23
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 289 1.38 0.19 0.75 0.49 0.44 0.07 0.14 0.63 0.20 0.61 0.13 0.11
2 McAdoo 454 0.94 0.29 0.56 0.45 0.00 0.09 0.19 0.48 0.38 0.45 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 29 1.21 0.05 0.21 0.53 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.48 0.47 0.53 0.01 0.45
4 Strickland 255 0.90 0.18 0.64 0.44 0.19 0.02 0.08 0.50 0.43 0.45 0.20 0.14
5 Paige 295 0.73 0.20 0.85 0.33 0.32 0.01 0.10 0.45 0.21 0.41 0.22 0.21
6 James 59 1.07 0.12 0.56 0.50 NaN 0.09 0.17 0.52 0.30 0.50 0.03 0.34
7 Hairston 300 1.20 0.28 0.78 0.42 0.39 0.08 0.11 0.58 0.29 0.54 0.09 0.11
8 Johnson 157 1.18 0.25 0.59 0.54 NaN 0.09 0.24 0.55 0.14 0.54 0.04 0.10
9 McDonald 174 1.01 0.23 0.75 0.38 0.39 0.04 0.08 0.52 0.18 0.49 0.11 0.11
10 Tokoto 89 1.00 0.18 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.52 0.35 0.53 0.13 0.30
11 Davis 10 0.80 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.41 0.70
12 Simmons 21 2.67 0.06 0.80 0.67 NaN 0.13 0.12 0.69 0.28 0.67 0.05 0.29
13 Total 2112 1.07 1.00 0.65 0.45 0.37 0.36 0.69 0.53 0.28 0.50 0.61 0.17
14 oppTotal 2112 0.94 1.00 0.69 0.42 0.35 0.30 0.65 0.51 0.25 0.47 0.50 0.22
Tuesday, February 26
Heels Attack NC State's Slow Defense
Here's a breakdown of a play the Heels ran to start their run against NC State on Saturday. This series shows how the Heels attacked the Wolfpack and used a simple curl play that could have ended up as an easy layup, but ended up as an even better three pointer for Reggie Bullock.
Marcus Paige, the blur in white running towards the
baseline, goes to set a pick for Bullock.
Lorenzo Brown(?), previously guarding Paige, calls down to Reggie
Bullock’s (35 in white) man (Warren or Purvis?) to tell him a pick is
coming.
Reggie Bullock, starts running towards the top of the 3
point line, away from his man. Paige is
ready to set a pick, but is more than an arm’s length away from Bullock’s
defender. Lorenzo Brown remains at the
right hand side of the free throw line, watching the ball but orienting his
body towards Paige and Bullock. At this
point, there are 4 black jerseys around
the FT line guarding 3 white jerseys.
Bullock’s man is still in contact with Bullock. If Paige were to sprint towards the opposite
block and demand the ball (see green arrow below), no one would be guarding
him. It’s the kind of quick realization
that it’s not fair to expect of a freshman, especially a point guard. It’s likely that Paige is just focusing on
running the play for Bullock, which is appropriate. Breaking plays for easy layups is something
that guys in the NBA don’t always do, so it’s not fair to expect the same of an
18 year old freshman. Still, it speaks to
State’s luck that the Heels didn’t recognize this opportunity for an easy layup,
regardless of the outcome of this play.
Lorenzo Brown sees Bullock running towards the top of the 3
point line, but remains with a foot in the paint. James Michael McAdoo waits at the top of the
key to screen whoever comes out to guard Bullock. Marcus Paige is hugged by Bullock’s former
defender.
Brown tries to step out to challenge Bullock on the
curl. He meets McAdoo squarely in the
chest. McAdoo’s defender, Richard
Howell, standing at the foot of the “A” in the paint, is not hedging. Since Howell is the best rebounder on either
team, he was likely told to stay around the paint. This leaves Lorenzo Brown the task of getting
around McAdoo quickly to challenge the pass and shot.
As Bullock squares up and begins his shooting motion, Brown
is still 6 feet away, with McAdoo still in contact. McAdoo’s man, Richard Howell, stays at the
top of the paint to be in prime rebounding position.
The result is an open three for a 44% shooter. The shot goes in, and this is the start of the 13-4 the Heels
put together from 8:22 to the NC State timeout at 4:58. That run broke the game open for the Heels and was pivotal for the Carolina victory.
Monday, February 25
GT Stats
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 GaTech Total 0.97 0.42 0.26 0.26 0.12
2 GaTech OppTotal 0.81 0.47 0.32 0.19 0.26
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 9 1.00 0.17 NaN 0.44 0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00
McAdoo 20 1.10 0.32 0.67 0.47 NaN 0.11 0.21 0.51 0.32 0.47 0.09 0.10
Hubert 1 0.00 0.14 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 1.00
Strickland 7 0.57 0.13 NaN 0.22 NaN 0.06 0.14 0.22 0.00 0.22 0.37 0.00
Paige 10 0.80 0.19 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.53 2.00 0.00 0.27 0.20
James NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Hairston 11 0.91 0.20 1.00 0.27 0.14 0.12 0.03 0.32 0.07 0.30 0.10 0.00
Johnson 2 1.00 0.16 NaN 0.50 NaN 0.00 0.29 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.23 0.00
McDonald 11 1.36 0.36 0.50 0.62 0.67 0.00 0.12 0.84 0.25 0.88 0.19 0.18
Tokoto 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.11 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.14 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Total 72 0.97 1.00 0.82 0.38 0.30 0.26 0.71 0.48 0.26 0.42 0.76 0.12
OppTotal 72 0.81 1.00 0.36 0.40 0.38 0.32 0.74 0.46 0.19 0.47 0.48 0.26
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 259 1.33 0.19 0.80 0.47 0.44 0.07 0.13 0.62 0.20 0.59 0.13 0.12
2 McAdoo 401 0.95 0.28 0.57 0.45 0.00 0.09 0.20 0.48 0.42 0.45 0.06 0.17
3 Hubert 27 1.22 0.05 0.21 0.52 NaN 0.07 0.10 0.47 0.48 0.52 0.01 0.41
4 Strickland 231 0.87 0.18 0.64 0.42 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.48 0.46 0.43 0.20 0.15
5 Paige 266 0.70 0.21 0.87 0.31 0.30 0.01 0.10 0.43 0.20 0.39 0.21 0.22
6 James 57 1.07 0.12 0.56 0.49 NaN 0.09 0.18 0.51 0.30 0.49 0.03 0.33
7 Hairston 269 1.19 0.30 0.79 0.42 0.38 0.09 0.11 0.58 0.30 0.53 0.10 0.12
8 Johnson 148 1.20 0.25 0.61 0.55 NaN 0.09 0.25 0.55 0.12 0.55 0.04 0.11
9 McDonald 157 1.04 0.24 0.73 0.40 0.40 0.04 0.07 0.53 0.15 0.51 0.12 0.11
10 Tokoto 89 1.00 0.18 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.52 0.35 0.53 0.13 0.29
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.43 0.67
12 Simmons 21 2.67 0.06 0.80 0.69 NaN 0.13 0.12 0.71 0.29 0.69 0.05 0.29
13 Total 1912 1.06 1.00 0.66 0.44 0.37 0.37 0.69 0.52 0.28 0.50 0.60 0.18
14 oppTotal 1912 0.95 1.00 0.69 0.42 0.36 0.29 0.64 0.51 0.26 0.48 0.49 0.21
Sunday, February 17
UVA Stats
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 UVA Total 1.35 0.6 0.32 0.51 0.1
2 UVA oppTotals 1.17 0.7 0.12 0.21 0.2
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 9 1.22 0.14 0.50 0.38 0.43 0.06 0.05 0.56 0.50 0.56 0.15 0.11
McAdoo 13 0.69 0.25 0.25 0.40 NaN 0.08 0.44 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.05 0.23
Hubert 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Strickland 10 1.20 0.19 0.75 0.60 NaN 0.00 0.06 0.70 1.60 0.60 0.28 0.10
Paige 13 1.31 0.25 1.00 0.44 0.60 0.04 0.17 0.73 0.67 0.61 0.14 0.15
James NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Hairston 16 1.81 0.32 0.88 0.57 0.50 0.08 0.29 0.83 0.57 0.79 0.00 0.00
Johnson 3 2.00 0.16 NaN 0.75 NaN 0.11 0.43 0.75 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00
McDonald 6 1.17 0.19 NaN 0.43 0.25 0.07 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.15 0.00
Tokoto 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.46 NaN
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.20 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Total 69 1.35 1.00 0.73 0.49 0.46 0.32 0.92 0.64 0.51 0.60 0.62 0.10
oppTotals 69 1.17 1.00 0.64 0.58 0.57 0.12 0.62 0.70 0.21 0.70 0.39 0.20
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 250 1.34 0.19 0.80 0.47 0.45 0.07 0.12 0.62 0.20 0.60 0.13 0.12
2 McAdoo 381 0.94 0.28 0.56 0.45 0.00 0.09 0.20 0.48 0.43 0.45 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 26 1.27 0.05 0.21 0.52 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.47 0.48 0.52 0.01 0.38
4 Strickland 224 0.88 0.18 0.64 0.43 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.49 0.49 0.45 0.20 0.15
5 Paige 256 0.70 0.21 0.84 0.32 0.31 0.01 0.10 0.43 0.16 0.39 0.21 0.22
6 James 57 1.07 0.12 0.56 0.49 NaN 0.09 0.18 0.51 0.30 0.49 0.03 0.33
7 Hairston 257 1.21 0.30 0.79 0.43 0.39 0.08 0.12 0.59 0.31 0.55 0.10 0.12
8 Johnson 146 1.20 0.26 0.61 0.55 NaN 0.09 0.24 0.55 0.12 0.55 0.04 0.11
9 McDonald 146 1.02 0.23 0.75 0.38 0.38 0.04 0.07 0.51 0.15 0.49 0.12 0.11
10 Tokoto 89 1.00 0.19 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.52 0.35 0.53 0.13 0.29
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.67
12 Simmons 21 2.67 0.06 0.80 0.69 NaN 0.14 0.12 0.71 0.29 0.69 0.05 0.29
13 Total 1840 1.07 1.00 0.65 0.44 0.37 0.37 0.69 0.53 0.29 0.50 0.60 0.18
14 oppTotal 1840 0.95 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.36 0.29 0.63 0.51 0.27 0.48 0.49 0.21
Duke Numbers
$`Four Factors` OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE 1 Duke Total 0.97 0.42 0.43 0.35 0.19 2 Duke oppTotals 1.04 0.50 0.38 0.36 0.24
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 11 1.36 0.17 0.25 0.50 0.57 0.07 0.17 0.64 0.40 0.70 0.04 0.18
McAdoo 12 0.75 0.20 0.20 0.33 NaN 0.10 0.15 0.32 0.42 0.33 0.05 0.17
Hubert 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Strickland 12 1.17 0.20 1.00 0.62 NaN 0.00 0.07 0.72 0.50 0.62 0.00 0.17
Paige 8 0.50 0.15 NaN 0.22 0.00 0.06 0.12 0.22 0.00 0.22 0.05 0.12
James NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Hairston 18 1.28 0.30 0.75 0.44 0.14 0.18 0.04 0.53 0.44 0.47 0.14 0.17
Johnson 3 0.00 0.43 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33
McDonald 5 0.40 0.14 NaN 0.17 0.00 0.09 0.12 0.17 0.00 0.17 0.08 0.20
Tokoto 3 0.33 0.57 0.50 0.00 NaN 0.00 0.00 0.27 2.00 0.00 0.53 0.33
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Total 70 0.97 1.00 0.57 0.38 0.28 0.43 0.56 0.45 0.35 0.42 0.32 0.19
oppTotals 70 1.04 1.00 0.85 0.45 0.38 0.38 0.59 0.56 0.36 0.50 0.36 0.24
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 241 1.34 0.19 0.83 0.48 0.45 0.07 0.13 0.62 0.19 0.60 0.13 0.12
2 McAdoo 368 0.95 0.28 0.57 0.45 0.00 0.09 0.19 0.48 0.43 0.45 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 26 1.27 0.05 0.21 0.52 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.47 0.48 0.52 0.01 0.38
4 Strickland 214 0.86 0.18 0.62 0.43 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.49 0.45 0.44 0.19 0.15
5 Paige 243 0.66 0.21 0.80 0.32 0.29 0.01 0.10 0.41 0.14 0.38 0.21 0.22
6 James 57 1.07 0.12 0.56 0.49 NaN 0.09 0.17 0.51 0.30 0.49 0.03 0.33
7 Hairston 241 1.17 0.30 0.78 0.42 0.38 0.08 0.11 0.57 0.29 0.53 0.11 0.13
8 Johnson 143 1.18 0.26 0.61 0.54 NaN 0.09 0.24 0.55 0.12 0.54 0.04 0.11
9 McDonald 140 1.01 0.23 0.75 0.38 0.39 0.04 0.07 0.52 0.16 0.49 0.11 0.11
10 Tokoto 89 1.00 0.19 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.52 0.35 0.53 0.13 0.29
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.67
12 Simmons 21 2.67 0.07 0.80 0.69 NaN 0.15 0.12 0.71 0.29 0.69 0.06 0.29
13 Total 1771 1.06 1.00 0.64 0.44 0.36 0.37 0.69 0.52 0.28 0.50 0.60 0.18
14 oppTotal 1771 0.94 1.00 0.70 0.41 0.35 0.30 0.63 0.50 0.27 0.47 0.50 0.21
Tuesday, February 5
Wake Write Up
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 WakeForest Total 1.10 0.59 0.26 0.40 0.18
2 WakeForest oppTotal 0.78 0.45 0.18 0.31 0.27
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 13 1.77 0.25 1.00 0.70 0.80 0.00 0.10 0.94 0.50 0.90 0.14 0.08
McAdoo 16 1.25 0.34 0.55 0.58 NaN 0.10 0.15 0.59 0.92 0.58 0.10 0.06
Hubert 1 2.00 0.05 NaN 0.50 NaN 0.10 0.11 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.11 0.00
Strickland 6 0.33 0.13 0.00 0.25 NaN 0.00 0.21 0.20 0.50 0.25 0.27 0.17
Paige 10 0.70 0.20 0.00 0.50 0.33 0.00 0.29 0.54 0.17 0.58 0.20 0.40
James 4 0.50 0.14 NaN 0.33 NaN 0.08 0.33 0.33 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.50
Hairston 6 1.83 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.67 0.10 0.00 0.83 1.50 1.00 0.21 0.00
Johnson 6 1.00 0.22 NaN 0.50 NaN 0.00 0.33 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00
McDonald 6 1.00 0.20 NaN 0.33 0.50 0.00 0.08 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.17 0.00
Tokoto 6 0.33 0.28 NaN 0.50 NaN 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.67
Davis 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.50 NaN NaN NaN 0.42 NaN
Simmons 2 2.00 0.08 NaN 0.67 NaN 0.18 0.09 0.67 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.50
Total 79 1.10 1.00 0.56 0.52 0.60 0.26 0.88 0.60 0.40 0.59 0.62 0.18
oppTotal 79 0.78 1.00 0.71 0.44 0.11 0.18 0.77 0.50 0.31 0.45 0.58 0.27
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 223 1.32 0.20 0.89 0.47 0.44 0.07 0.12 0.62 0.17 0.59 0.14 0.12
2 McAdoo 341 0.99 0.28 0.59 0.46 0.00 0.10 0.19 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 26 1.19 0.05 0.21 0.50 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.45 0.50 0.50 0.02 0.38
4 Strickland 198 0.85 0.18 0.60 0.42 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.48 0.46 0.44 0.20 0.16
5 Paige 226 0.69 0.21 0.80 0.33 0.31 0.01 0.10 0.44 0.15 0.41 0.22 0.23
6 James 54 1.13 0.12 0.56 0.50 NaN 0.09 0.18 0.52 0.31 0.50 0.03 0.31
7 Hairston 211 1.17 0.30 0.79 0.42 0.39 0.08 0.12 0.58 0.30 0.54 0.11 0.12
8 Johnson 133 1.21 0.25 0.56 0.56 NaN 0.09 0.24 0.56 0.12 0.56 0.04 0.11
9 McDonald 126 1.03 0.24 0.75 0.38 0.40 0.04 0.07 0.53 0.17 0.50 0.12 0.11
10 Tokoto 85 1.01 0.19 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.52 0.33 0.53 0.13 0.29
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.43 0.67
12 Simmons 21 2.48 0.07 0.80 0.67 NaN 0.15 0.11 0.70 0.30 0.67 0.04 0.29
13 Total 1633 1.07 1.00 0.65 0.45 0.37 0.37 0.69 0.53 0.28 0.50 0.61 0.18
14 oppTotal 1633 0.92 1.00 0.69 0.40 0.34 0.29 0.63 0.49 0.27 0.46 0.50 0.21
Saturday, February 2
Marcus Paige saves the day (and the NCAA hopes)
I think the Heels are really lucky to have come out on top in this one (which is a given, it was an overtime game and important since a loss here would have pushed the Heels towards the bubble), that said I'm especially impressed with the win for a couple of reasons.
1) Personnel - The Heels' personnel options took a huge step back in this game, going from a hot Hairston to a less than impressive Leslie is a downgrade on both ends of the floor. Virginia Tech took advantage of this by throwing a zone look at UNC most of the game, something Reggie Bullock was unable to take advantage of (1-8 3pt FG). Fortunately Paige stepped up (see below) and McAdoo took advantage of the zone by catching the ball in the high post and either sinking a long jumper or successfully putting the ball on the floor (his .75 FTRate was his 2nd highest in the last 10 games). I'm actually surprised that VaTech went to a zone because early on their man to man kept UNC off the glass (http://www.scacchoops.com/ViewHDGame.asp?hSchedule=14590&bView=7&sInclude=dorebpct) which lead to the 12-2 start in which UNC got offensive rebound in the first 10 minutes of the game. Once Tech took to a zone the Heels were able to get second chances and rescue an otherwise pathetic offensive effort. If you inspect the pentagon below, you'll notice that UNC won despite shooting worse than the Virginia Tech. It took an advantage in all three of the other four factors to secure the win. It is nice to see the Heels win one the hard way, stepping up the other areas of the game to make up for poor field goal shooting.
2) Defense - As bad as the offense looked without Hairston, the defense looked very, very good. I'm not going to attribute this to Hairston's absence as much as Paige and Strickland doing an amazing job of keeping NCAA leading scorer Erick Green under wraps. I'll admit I was nervous heading into the waning minutes. Normally with a player of Green's caliber, you can expect him to find a way to score since his team will turn to him repeatedly in close situations. However, Green went 0-3 over the last 6 Tech possessions, thanks to solid defense by Strickland and Paige (and on the last play, Bullock). Erick Green entered the game with an offensive rating of 123 (125 in conference), which is one of the highest in the nation for players of his usage. Today UNC held him to 16 points on 19 possessions, a rating of 84. That was the difference in the game on the defensive end, period. On a similar note, I'm convinced that Roy trusts Simmons more on screens (and free throw shooting) which explains his presence in the lineup as regulation wound to a close. Simmons' ability to hedge appropriately on at least one of the screens Green received may have saved the game, so continue to place me in the "Roy knows what he's doing" camp. To get back to the main point Carolina held a pretty potent offensive team, and the league's best player, to one of their worst offensive games of the season.
3) Paige - On the offensive end: Reggie Bullock's shots weren't falling, James Michael McAdoo was having the kind of game every Tar Heel faithful expects him to have every night, and no one else was stepping in to fill the Bullock/Hairston void. Enter Marcus Paige. Remember that "shoot-first" point guard that Roy recruited? That was him out there on the floor today, 4-10 from 3 point range paired with 5 assists. Hopefully this will help his confidence and he can produce more games like this throughout the remainder of the season. On afternoons that Bullock and/or Hairston are knocking down outside shots, Paige should find himself with open shots and lanes. Whether or not Paige takes advantage of these opportunities will determine if the Tar Heels to continue to improve to the level of everyone's expectations or finish a so-so season with an NCAA whimper.
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 VaTech Total 1.03 0.41 0.43 0.42 0.17
2 VaTech oppTotal 0.86 0.42 0.26 0.16 0.20
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 11 1.00 0.17 1.00 0.23 0.12 0.10 0.06 0.37 0.31 0.27 0.23 0.00
McAdoo 18 1.22 0.30 0.67 0.67 NaN 0.08 0.21 0.69 0.75 0.67 0.05 0.28
Hubert 0 Inf 0.00 NaN 0.50 NaN 0.14 0.08 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 NaN
Strickland 6 0.83 0.14 0.33 0.29 NaN 0.12 0.00 0.30 0.43 0.29 0.07 0.17
Paige 17 1.12 0.28 0.75 0.43 0.40 0.03 0.12 0.60 0.29 0.57 0.24 0.12
James 0 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.17 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NaN
Hairston NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Johnson 3 1.67 0.18 1.00 0.40 NaN 0.18 0.40 0.46 0.20 0.40 0.17 0.00
McDonald 10 0.60 0.26 1.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.34 0.57 0.14 0.22 0.10
Tokoto 3 0.00 0.32 NaN 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 3 0.67 0.11 0.00 0.50 NaN 0.06 0.12 0.35 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.33
Total 70 1.03 1.00 0.70 0.38 0.21 0.43 0.72 0.47 0.42 0.41 0.67 0.17
oppTotal 70 0.86 1.00 0.80 0.39 0.31 0.26 0.55 0.45 0.16 0.42 0.42 0.20
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 210 1.30 0.19 0.88 0.46 0.43 0.07 0.13 0.60 0.16 0.58 0.14 0.12
2 McAdoo 325 0.97 0.28 0.59 0.46 0.00 0.10 0.19 0.49 0.42 0.46 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 25 1.16 0.05 0.21 0.50 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.45 0.54 0.50 0.01 0.40
4 Strickland 192 0.87 0.19 0.62 0.43 0.20 0.02 0.07 0.49 0.46 0.44 0.20 0.16
5 Paige 215 0.69 0.21 0.83 0.32 0.31 0.01 0.09 0.43 0.15 0.40 0.22 0.23
6 James 50 1.18 0.12 0.56 0.51 NaN 0.09 0.17 0.53 0.33 0.51 0.03 0.30
7 Hairston 205 1.15 0.30 0.82 0.41 0.38 0.08 0.12 0.57 0.27 0.53 0.11 0.13
8 Johnson 127 1.22 0.26 0.56 0.56 NaN 0.10 0.24 0.57 0.12 0.56 0.05 0.12
9 McDonald 120 1.03 0.24 0.75 0.39 0.40 0.04 0.07 0.53 0.18 0.50 0.12 0.12
10 Tokoto 79 1.06 0.18 0.38 0.53 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.52 0.34 0.54 0.13 0.27
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.43 0.67
12 Simmons 19 2.53 0.07 0.80 0.67 NaN 0.15 0.11 0.70 0.33 0.67 0.05 0.26
13 Total 1554 1.06 1.00 0.65 0.44 0.36 0.38 0.68 0.52 0.28 0.50 0.61 0.18
14 oppTotal 1554 0.93 1.00 0.69 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.63 0.49 0.26 0.46 0.50 0.21
Wednesday, January 30
BC Results
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 BC Total 1.21 0.54 0.38 0.32 0.13
2 BC oppTotals 1.03 0.51 0.21 0.30 0.15
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 10 0.80 0.19 NaN 0.38 0.33 0.00 0.27 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.04 0.20
McAdoo 21 0.81 0.36 0.50 0.35 NaN 0.10 0.25 0.38 0.30 0.35 0.12 0.05
Hubert 1 4.00 0.05 NaN 1.00 NaN 0.09 0.09 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Strickland 16 0.88 0.30 1.00 0.40 NaN 0.00 0.08 0.55 0.60 0.40 0.17 0.19
Paige 7 1.14 0.13 1.00 0.33 0.33 0.04 0.12 0.55 0.50 0.42 0.25 0.14
James 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Hairston 6 2.33 0.29 0.67 0.80 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.60 1.20 0.33 0.00
Johnson 4 1.50 0.21 NaN 0.75 NaN 0.11 0.22 0.75 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.25
McDonald NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Tokoto 3 1.00 0.14 0.50 0.50 NaN 0.00 0.09 0.52 1.00 0.50 0.21 0.00
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 3 2.67 0.08 NaN 0.80 NaN 0.17 0.06 0.80 0.00 0.80 0.06 0.33
Total 68 1.21 1.00 0.75 0.48 0.54 0.38 0.73 0.58 0.32 0.54 0.67 0.13
oppTotals 68 1.03 1.00 0.76 0.45 0.35 0.21 0.56 0.55 0.30 0.51 0.48 0.15
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 199 1.31 0.20 0.86 0.47 0.45 0.07 0.13 0.62 0.15 0.60 0.13 0.13
2 McAdoo 306 0.96 0.28 0.58 0.45 0.00 0.10 0.19 0.48 0.41 0.45 0.06 0.18
3 Hubert 25 1.08 0.06 0.21 0.50 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.45 0.58 0.50 0.01 0.40
4 Strickland 186 0.87 0.19 0.63 0.43 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.49 0.46 0.45 0.21 0.16
5 Paige 198 0.65 0.21 0.85 0.32 0.30 0.01 0.09 0.42 0.14 0.38 0.22 0.24
6 James 50 1.18 0.12 0.56 0.52 NaN 0.09 0.16 0.54 0.33 0.52 0.03 0.30
7 Hairston 205 1.15 0.30 0.82 0.41 0.38 0.08 0.12 0.57 0.27 0.53 0.11 0.13
8 Johnson 123 1.22 0.26 0.53 0.57 NaN 0.09 0.23 0.57 0.12 0.57 0.04 0.12
9 McDonald 111 1.06 0.24 0.69 0.40 0.43 0.05 0.07 0.54 0.16 0.52 0.11 0.12
10 Tokoto 76 1.11 0.18 0.38 0.54 0.10 0.10 0.13 0.53 0.35 0.54 0.13 0.25
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.67
12 Simmons 16 2.88 0.07 1.00 0.68 NaN 0.16 0.11 0.73 0.29 0.68 0.05 0.25
13 Total 1484 1.07 1.00 0.65 0.45 0.37 0.38 0.68 0.53 0.27 0.50 0.61 0.18
14 oppTotal 1484 0.93 1.00 0.68 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.63 0.50 0.27 0.46 0.50 0.21
NC State Results
Not a surprise but the Heels are going to have to do 2 things better on the return trip, rebounding and maybe earn a few more trips to the line. Or they could throw all of that out and play like they did in the second half. That is probably what was simultaneously the more annoying and the least troubling about the game. UNC played a clean game (few TO's, decent decision making), but given all the bad defense NC State's offensive rating was exactly where KP's numbers predicted it. The Heels just missed too many shots, and the absence of McAdoo in the 1st half was probably not helping much.
So, coming out of that game, we know exactly what we knew going in. UNC is an inexperienced team prone to lapses on defense but with some spotty offensive firepower. The Heels scored 50 points in the last 13 minutes of the game, 50! A lot of that was thanks to PJ Hairston as you can see from the bottom graph. On the same graph you can witness how poorly Reggie and Marcus played. Hopefully those are one game trends, but only time will tell.
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 NCState Total 1.02 0.52 0.24 0.14 0.17
2 NCState oppTotals 1.12 0.55 0.35 0.35 0.20
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 13 0.77 0.19 NaN 0.36 0.33 0.00 0.14 0.45 0.00 0.45 0.18 0.15
McAdoo 11 1.18 0.22 0.75 0.50 NaN 0.08 0.43 0.55 0.40 0.50 0.00 0.09
Hubert 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN
Strickland 8 0.75 0.15 1.00 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.38 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.00
Paige 15 0.47 0.26 1.00 0.18 0.20 0.00 0.08 0.29 0.18 0.23 0.17 0.20
James 4 1.50 0.16 NaN 0.75 NaN 0.00 0.10 0.75 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00
Hairston 14 1.36 0.41 1.00 0.60 0.62 0.00 0.07 0.87 0.20 0.85 0.07 0.21
Johnson 5 1.20 0.25 NaN 0.38 NaN 0.30 0.12 0.38 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00
McDonald NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Tokoto 8 1.25 0.23 NaN 0.71 0.00 0.06 0.07 0.71 0.00 0.71 0.21 0.25
Davis 3 0.00 0.25 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.40 1.00
Simmons 1 6.00 0.03 NaN 1.00 NaN 0.14 0.08 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Total 81 1.02 1.00 0.90 0.46 0.36 0.24 0.68 0.55 0.14 0.52 0.64 0.17
oppTotals 81 1.12 1.00 0.87 0.49 0.54 0.35 0.79 0.61 0.35 0.55 0.69 0.20
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 189 1.34 0.20 0.86 0.48 0.46 0.07 0.12 0.62 0.15 0.60 0.14 0.12
2 McAdoo 286 0.97 0.28 0.59 0.46 0.00 0.10 0.19 0.49 0.42 0.46 0.06 0.19
3 Hubert 24 0.96 0.06 0.21 0.45 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.41 0.64 0.45 0.01 0.42
4 Strickland 170 0.87 0.18 0.60 0.44 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.49 0.45 0.45 0.21 0.15
5 Paige 191 0.63 0.21 0.82 0.31 0.30 0.01 0.09 0.41 0.12 0.38 0.22 0.24
6 James 50 1.18 0.12 0.56 0.52 NaN 0.09 0.16 0.54 0.33 0.52 0.04 0.30
7 Hairston 198 1.12 0.29 0.83 0.40 0.36 0.08 0.12 0.56 0.26 0.51 0.10 0.13
8 Johnson 119 1.21 0.26 0.53 0.56 NaN 0.09 0.23 0.56 0.12 0.56 0.04 0.12
9 McDonald 111 1.06 0.24 0.69 0.40 0.43 0.05 0.07 0.54 0.16 0.52 0.11 0.12
10 Tokoto 73 1.11 0.18 0.36 0.54 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.53 0.33 0.54 0.13 0.26
11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.67
12 Simmons 13 2.92 0.07 1.00 0.65 NaN 0.16 0.13 0.72 0.35 0.65 0.05 0.23
13 Total 1417 1.06 1.00 0.64 0.45 0.37 0.38 0.68 0.52 0.27 0.50 0.61 0.19
14 oppTotal 1417 0.93 1.00 0.68 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.64 0.49 0.27 0.46 0.51 0.21
Thursday, January 24
GT Wrap & NC State odds
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 GeorgiaTech Total 0.98 0.47 0.30 0.31 0.17
2 GeorgiaTech oppTotals 0.78 0.39 0.35 0.08 0.23
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 10 1.70 0.16 1.00 0.58 0.29 0.09 0.08 0.68 0.08 0.67 0.00 0.10
McAdoo 15 0.93 0.28 0.40 0.38 0.00 0.14 0.16 0.40 0.77 0.38 0.05 0.07
Hubert 2 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 NaN 0.04 0.19 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00
Strickland 9 0.67 0.19 0.50 0.40 NaN 0.00 0.14 0.44 0.80 0.40 0.33 0.22
Paige 9 0.33 0.16 NaN 0.17 0.50 0.00 0.12 0.25 0.00 0.25 0.30 0.33
James 2 2.00 0.10 NaN 0.67 NaN 0.09 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.67 0.13 0.00
Hairston 14 1.07 0.41 1.00 0.45 0.50 0.00 0.10 0.63 0.18 0.59 0.08 0.14
Johnson 6 0.67 0.23 1.00 0.20 NaN 0.00 0.31 0.34 0.40 0.20 0.21 0.00
McDonald NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Tokoto 11 0.73 0.30 NaN 0.44 0.00 0.10 0.09 0.44 0.00 0.44 0.15 0.36
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 2 3.00 0.12 1.00 1.00 NaN 0.11 0.00 1.04 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Total 81 0.98 1.00 0.59 0.43 0.35 0.30 0.67 0.50 0.31 0.47 0.63 0.17
oppTotals 81 0.78 1.00 0.83 0.36 0.27 0.35 0.75 0.41 0.08 0.39 0.30 0.23
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 176 1.38 0.20 0.86 0.49 0.46 0.08 0.12 0.63 0.16 0.61 0.14 0.12
2 McAdoo 275 0.96 0.28 0.58 0.45 0.00 0.10 0.18 0.49 0.42 0.45 0.06 0.19
3 Hubert 24 0.96 0.06 0.21 0.45 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.41 0.64 0.45 0.01 0.42
4 Strickland 162 0.88 0.18 0.58 0.45 0.21 0.02 0.08 0.50 0.46 0.46 0.20 0.16
5 Paige 176 0.65 0.21 0.80 0.33 0.31 0.01 0.09 0.42 0.12 0.40 0.22 0.24
6 James 46 1.15 0.12 0.56 0.50 NaN 0.10 0.17 0.52 0.36 0.50 0.04 0.33
7 Hairston 184 1.10 0.29 0.82 0.39 0.34 0.08 0.12 0.54 0.27 0.49 0.10 0.12
8 Johnson 114 1.21 0.26 0.53 0.58 NaN 0.08 0.23 0.58 0.13 0.58 0.05 0.12
9 McDonald 111 1.06 0.24 0.69 0.40 0.43 0.05 0.07 0.54 0.16 0.52 0.11 0.12
10 Tokoto 65 1.09 0.18 0.36 0.52 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.51 0.37 0.52 0.12 0.26
11 Davis 6 1.33 0.05 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.50
12 Simmons 12 2.67 0.07 1.00 0.60 NaN 0.17 0.13 0.68 0.40 0.60 0.06 0.25
13 Total 1336 1.06 1.00 0.63 0.45 0.37 0.38 0.68 0.52 0.28 0.50 0.61 0.19
14 oppTotal 1336 0.92 1.00 0.66 0.40 0.34 0.30 0.63 0.49 0.26 0.46 0.49 0.21
> prediction(117.2,98.9,68.8,107.3,91.6,73.7)
$HomePts (NC State)
[1] 84.41233
$AwayPts
[1] 78.89632
$Pace
[1] 75.34264
$HomeWinP
[1] 0.6850672
(Late) Maryland Wrap
$`Four Factors`
OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE
1 Maryland Total 0.87 0.39 0.33 0.28 0.17
2 Maryland oppTotals 0.73 0.41 0.29 0.26 0.30
$`Last Game`
POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
Bullock 17 1.41 0.29 0.86 0.47 0.57 0.05 0.11 0.66 0.47 0.60 0.00 0.06
McAdoo 18 1.06 0.30 0.43 0.50 0.00 0.13 0.21 0.50 0.44 0.50 0.05 0.22
Hubert 0 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.00 NaN 0.06 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NaN
Strickland 9 0.67 0.19 0.50 0.33 NaN 0.03 0.09 0.39 0.67 0.33 0.13 0.22
Paige 7 0.29 0.12 NaN 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.14 0.00 0.14 0.33 0.00
James 4 1.00 0.20 NaN 0.40 NaN 0.08 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.00
Hairston 9 0.33 0.20 NaN 0.12 0.20 0.07 0.10 0.19 0.00 0.19 0.21 0.33
Johnson 5 0.40 0.35 NaN 0.17 NaN 0.11 0.14 0.17 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00
McDonald NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Tokoto 1 2.00 0.06 NaN 1.00 NaN 0.10 0.12 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.39 1.00
Davis NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Simmons 1 0.00 0.08 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 1.00
Total 71 0.87 1.00 0.61 0.35 0.29 0.33 0.71 0.43 0.28 0.39 0.61 0.17
oppTotals 71 0.73 1.00 0.64 0.40 0.08 0.29 0.69 0.44 0.26 0.41 0.24 0.30
$`Season Totals`
NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE
1 Bullock 165 1.37 0.20 0.86 0.48 0.48 0.08 0.13 0.63 0.17 0.60 0.14 0.12
2 McAdoo 260 0.96 0.28 0.60 0.46 0.00 0.09 0.18 0.49 0.40 0.46 0.06 0.20
3 Hubert 21 1.10 0.06 0.23 0.53 NaN 0.07 0.10 0.47 0.68 0.53 0.01 0.48
4 Strickland 153 0.89 0.18 0.59 0.45 0.21 0.02 0.08 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.20 0.16
5 Paige 167 0.66 0.21 0.80 0.33 0.30 0.01 0.08 0.43 0.12 0.40 0.22 0.24
6 James 44 1.11 0.12 0.56 0.49 NaN 0.10 0.18 0.51 0.39 0.49 0.03 0.34
7 Hairston 170 1.11 0.28 0.81 0.39 0.33 0.09 0.13 0.53 0.27 0.48 0.10 0.12
8 Johnson 108 1.24 0.26 0.46 0.59 NaN 0.09 0.23 0.59 0.12 0.59 0.04 0.13
9 McDonald 111 1.06 0.24 0.69 0.40 0.43 0.05 0.07 0.54 0.16 0.52 0.11 0.12
10 Tokoto 54 1.17 0.16 0.36 0.53 0.14 0.11 0.14 0.52 0.43 0.54 0.12 0.24
11 Davis 6 1.33 0.05 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.50
12 Simmons 10 2.60 0.07 1.00 0.56 NaN 0.18 0.15 0.63 0.33 0.56 0.07 0.30
13 Total 1255 1.07 1.00 0.64 0.45 0.37 0.39 0.68 0.52 0.27 0.50 0.60 0.19
14 oppTotal 1255 0.93 1.00 0.66 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.62 0.49 0.28 0.46 0.50 0.21
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