Not a surprise but the Heels are going to have to do 2 things better on the return trip, rebounding and maybe earn a few more trips to the line. Or they could throw all of that out and play like they did in the second half. That is probably what was simultaneously the more annoying and the least troubling about the game. UNC played a clean game (few TO's, decent decision making), but given all the bad defense NC State's offensive rating was exactly where KP's numbers predicted it. The Heels just missed too many shots, and the absence of McAdoo in the 1st half was probably not helping much.
So, coming out of that game, we know exactly what we knew going in. UNC is an inexperienced team prone to lapses on defense but with some spotty offensive firepower. The Heels scored 50 points in the last 13 minutes of the game, 50! A lot of that was thanks to PJ Hairston as you can see from the bottom graph. On the same graph you can witness how poorly Reggie and Marcus played. Hopefully those are one game trends, but only time will tell.
$`Four Factors` OPP NAME ORTG perEFG perORB FTR TORATE 1 NCState Total 1.02 0.52 0.24 0.14 0.17 2 NCState oppTotals 1.12 0.55 0.35 0.35 0.20
$`Last Game` POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE Bullock 13 0.77 0.19 NaN 0.36 0.33 0.00 0.14 0.45 0.00 0.45 0.18 0.15 McAdoo 11 1.18 0.22 0.75 0.50 NaN 0.08 0.43 0.55 0.40 0.50 0.00 0.09 Hubert 0 NaN 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 NaN Strickland 8 0.75 0.15 1.00 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.38 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.00 Paige 15 0.47 0.26 1.00 0.18 0.20 0.00 0.08 0.29 0.18 0.23 0.17 0.20 James 4 1.50 0.16 NaN 0.75 NaN 0.00 0.10 0.75 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 Hairston 14 1.36 0.41 1.00 0.60 0.62 0.00 0.07 0.87 0.20 0.85 0.07 0.21 Johnson 5 1.20 0.25 NaN 0.38 NaN 0.30 0.12 0.38 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 McDonald NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Tokoto 8 1.25 0.23 NaN 0.71 0.00 0.06 0.07 0.71 0.00 0.71 0.21 0.25 Davis 3 0.00 0.25 NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 NaN NaN NaN 0.40 1.00 Simmons 1 6.00 0.03 NaN 1.00 NaN 0.14 0.08 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Total 81 1.02 1.00 0.90 0.46 0.36 0.24 0.68 0.55 0.14 0.52 0.64 0.17 oppTotals 81 1.12 1.00 0.87 0.49 0.54 0.35 0.79 0.61 0.35 0.55 0.69 0.20 $`Season Totals` NAME POSS ORTG USG perFTM perFGM perFGM.3 perORB perDRB perTS FTR perEFG ARATE TORATE 1 Bullock 189 1.34 0.20 0.86 0.48 0.46 0.07 0.12 0.62 0.15 0.60 0.14 0.12 2 McAdoo 286 0.97 0.28 0.59 0.46 0.00 0.10 0.19 0.49 0.42 0.46 0.06 0.19 3 Hubert 24 0.96 0.06 0.21 0.45 NaN 0.07 0.11 0.41 0.64 0.45 0.01 0.42 4 Strickland 170 0.87 0.18 0.60 0.44 0.20 0.02 0.08 0.49 0.45 0.45 0.21 0.15 5 Paige 191 0.63 0.21 0.82 0.31 0.30 0.01 0.09 0.41 0.12 0.38 0.22 0.24 6 James 50 1.18 0.12 0.56 0.52 NaN 0.09 0.16 0.54 0.33 0.52 0.04 0.30 7 Hairston 198 1.12 0.29 0.83 0.40 0.36 0.08 0.12 0.56 0.26 0.51 0.10 0.13 8 Johnson 119 1.21 0.26 0.53 0.56 NaN 0.09 0.23 0.56 0.12 0.56 0.04 0.12 9 McDonald 111 1.06 0.24 0.69 0.40 0.43 0.05 0.07 0.54 0.16 0.52 0.11 0.12 10 Tokoto 73 1.11 0.18 0.36 0.54 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.53 0.33 0.54 0.13 0.26 11 Davis 9 0.89 0.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 1.39 1.00 1.50 0.42 0.67 12 Simmons 13 2.92 0.07 1.00 0.65 NaN 0.16 0.13 0.72 0.35 0.65 0.05 0.23 13 Total 1417 1.06 1.00 0.64 0.45 0.37 0.38 0.68 0.52 0.27 0.50 0.61 0.19 14 oppTotal 1417 0.93 1.00 0.68 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.64 0.49 0.27 0.46 0.51 0.21
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